The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 56.43% from 51.43% last week due to the “High Yield and Emerging Market Bond Factor” shifting from neutral to bullish. In other words, the fixed-income markets are holding up well. We’d also note that global equity breadth is constructive, and volume-adjusted demand continues to outpace supply.

The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 51.43% from 63.57% last week. The model’s technical indicators are now low neutral on balance due to the intermediate-term trend factor turning negative, joining the short-term trend and stock/bond relative strength factors discussed last week. Neutral readings remain in place for our breadth thrust and oversold mean reversion factors.

The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 63.57% from 70.71% last week. The model’s technical indicators are now neutral on balance due to the short-term trend factor turning negative, joining the stock/bond relative strength factor. Neutral readings are in place for our breadth thrust and oversold mean reversion factors.

The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 70.7% from 72.9% last week due to a relative strength measure calling stocks versus bonds turning negative. The model’s internal indicators remain bullish, though less so with this week’s update, and the external indicators are neutral.

The Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop model level is 72.9%, the same level as last week. The model’s internal indicators remain bullish, and the external indicators are neutral. We note that measures calling U.S. Stock/Bond relative strength and Short-term Trend are approaching potential sell signals, while MSCI Equity Market breadth and Emerging Market/High-Yield bond breadth remain positive.

The Catastrophic Stop model held steady at 72.9%, the same level as last week. The model’s technical indicators are bullish, and the external indicators are neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model held steady at 72.9%, the same level as last week. On average, the model’s technical indicators remain bullish, and the external indicators are neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model held steady at 72.9%, the same level as last week. On average, the model’s technical indicators remain bullish, and the external indicators are neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 72.9% from 65.9% last week. Internal measures (price-related indicators) are bullish, and External measures (indicators calling the operating environment) are neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model increased slightly to 65.7% from 60.7% last week. Internal measures (price-related indicators) are bullish, and External measures (indicators calling the operating environment) are neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 60.7% from 67.9% last week as the MSCI ACWI Breadth Factor reverted to a sell signal. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model improved to 67.9% from 60.7% last week due to the MSCI ACWI Breadth Factor shifting to positive. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model held steady at 60.7%, the same reading as last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 60.7% from 72.9% last week due to High-Yield and Emerging Market bond breadth shifting from bullish to neutral on 12-18-2024. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 72.9% from 67.9% last week due to the sentiment composite shifting from bearish to neutral. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model improved to 67.9% from 60.7% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model is unchanged from last week’s level of 60.7%. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 60.7% from 55.7% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 55.7% from 67.9% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is low-neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 67.9% from 60.7% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral. The model continues to recommend a fully invested position.