
Day Hagan Research
Day Hagan’s Research is a resource for U.S. and global financial market research and portfolio insights to help fuel client relationships and grow your practice. Read market commentary and research to help you deliver on your clients’ financial goals.
Day Hagan Technical Analysis - April 23, 2025
Join Art Huprich, CMT, on Wednesday, April 23, 2025, at 4:00 PM EST, for the monthly Day Hagan Technical Analysis. Art will be discussing the current technical condition of the equity markets (domestic, international, and emerging) based on supply (selling pressure) and demand (buying interest) analysis.
Day Hagan Technical Analysis with Art Huprich, CMT, Recorded March 25, 2025
Watch Art Huprich, CMT, break down S&P 500 trends, market corrections, and recession signals in this March 25, 2025, webinar replay. Financial advisors are encouraged to watch for the latest market technical analysis, smart sector strategies, and risk management insights —don’t miss out!
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update March 25, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 56.43% from 51.43% last week due to the “High Yield and Emerging Market Bond Factor” shifting from neutral to bullish. In other words, the fixed-income markets are holding up well. We’d also note that global equity breadth is constructive, and volume-adjusted demand continues to outpace supply.
Enhance Your Portfolio Process with the Day Hagan Smart Sector® Series and Catastrophic Stop Update
Join us for an informative webinar where we explore smart investing strategies, balanced portfolios, and risk management techniques to enhance your portfolio process. Whether you're a seasoned financial advisor or an individual investor, this webinar will provide valuable insights and practical knowledge to optimize your investment approach.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update March 18, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 51.43% from 63.57% last week. The model’s technical indicators are now low neutral on balance due to the intermediate-term trend factor turning negative, joining the short-term trend and stock/bond relative strength factors discussed last week. Neutral readings remain in place for our breadth thrust and oversold mean reversion factors.
Day Hagan Tech Talk: Cardiac Arrest
Following the domestic equity market’s heart attack-inducing decline, it needs a slow, methodical rehab to repair the chart damage. Friday started the process, but more is needed.
Day Hagan Tech Talk: Spring Ahead, Fall Back
Although we set our clocks ahead over the weekend, stock prices fell back as macro risk and political headline fatigue weighs heavily on Wall Street’s psyche. An oversold rally is due (Figure 1). If it doesn’t occur soon, it will be bearish.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update March 11, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 63.57% from 70.71% last week. The model’s technical indicators are now neutral on balance due to the short-term trend factor turning negative, joining the stock/bond relative strength factor. Neutral readings are in place for our breadth thrust and oversold mean reversion factors.
Day Hagan Smart Value Strategy Update March 2025
The DH Smart Value Portfolio continues to invest in companies producing excess returns through positive economic profitability, supported by solid balance sheets (quality), significant cash generation (profitability), and trading with considerable margins of safety (valuation). We believe these factors will continue to provide rational opportunities for the foreseeable future.
Day Hagan Smart Sector® Fixed Income Strategy Update March 2025
In February 2025, global fixed-income markets fared well, though they faced considerable turbulence fueled by geopolitical tensions, shifts in monetary policy, and changing investor sentiment. A key incident contributing to this uncertainty was the contentious meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on February 28.
Day Hagan Smart Sector® International Strategy Update March 2025
International equities outperformed the U.S. in February, with Europe leading the way. Spain, the U.K., Germany, Hong Kong, and China gained significant ground while the U.S., Taiwan, Australia, Japan, and India lagged.
Day Hagan Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy Update March 5, 2025
February witnessed notable sector rotation in the equity markets, with the Consumer Staples, Real Estate, Energy, and Health Care sectors experiencing growth, while Consumer Discretionary, Information Technology, Industrials, and Communication Services faced declines. The month began amid disappointing macroeconomic indicators that dampened investor confidence, highlighted by a significant drop in the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index.
Day Hagan Tech Talk: Say What?
Many finally became aware of the unwinding speculative stock market activity in the Index Movers, Quantum stocks, crypto, IPO proxy, and penny stocks that had run up on above-average volume.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update March 4, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 70.7% from 72.9% last week due to a relative strength measure calling stocks versus bonds turning negative. The model’s internal indicators remain bullish, though less so with this week’s update, and the external indicators are neutral.
Day Hagan Tech Talk: Asked and Answered
Last week, I stated that I’d like new highs to see what selling arises. I also said we would soon know if any topside breakouts were false and full of hot air. We immediately got an answer to both scenarios.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update February 25, 2025
The Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop model level is 72.9%, the same level as last week. The model’s internal indicators remain bullish, and the external indicators are neutral. We note that measures calling U.S. Stock/Bond relative strength and Short-term Trend are approaching potential sell signals, while MSCI Equity Market breadth and Emerging Market/High-Yield bond breadth remain positive.
Day Hagan Tech Talk: Bang, Zoom!
I want equity market proxies to break topside and see 1) what selling pressure arises, if any, 2) if internal measuring tools (Advance-Decline figures, New Highs, sector participation, equal versus cap weight, etc.) confirm or diverge (again), and 3) sentiment readings.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update February 18, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model held steady at 72.9%, the same level as last week. The model’s technical indicators are bullish, and the external indicators are neutral.
Day Hagan Tech Talk: A Broken Record
Last Friday, news of lower unemployment and rising hourly earnings heightened inflation expectations, while ongoing tariff concerns added to market volatility. As a result, equity market proxies pulled back, reflecting continued selling pressure around resistance levels.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update February 11, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model held steady at 72.9%, the same level as last week. On average, the model’s technical indicators remain bullish, and the external indicators are neutral.