Above is the replay of the February 19, 2019 Day Hagan Technical Tuesday Webinar, with Art Huprich, CMT.
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Above is the replay of the February 13, 2019 Day Hagan Market Update Webinar, with Donald Hagan, CFA.
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Please join Donald Hagan, CFA, on Wednesday, March 13, 2019, at 4:15 PM EST, for the monthly Day Hagan Market Update Webinar. Don will be discussing his outlook for the global financial markets and the driving forces behind the U.S. economy.
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Please Art Huprich, CMT, on Tuesday, March 19, 2019, at 4:15 PM EST, for the monthly Day Hagan Technical Analysis Tuesday webinar. Art will be discussing the current technical condition of the equity markets (domestic, international and emerging) based on supply (selling pressure) and demand (buying interest) analysis.
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The S&P 500 appears confined between a flat 200-DMA and downtrend line (resistance) and rising 50-DMA (support). How the SPX handles these initial tactical levels will be an important short-term guidepost.
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Following our risk management protocols, our January returns were achieved while continuing to hold defensive cash, albeit at lower-than-previous levels.
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I still believe that the probability favors a partial retest of the 12/24/18 low, not an undercut low or a full retest of the 12/24/18 low.
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Despite disappointing corporate reports yesterday, the rally off the 12/24/18 lows has been consolidating in an orderly fashion. However, please use the near-term tactical levels of support and resistance accordingly.
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Near term, an excellent guidepost will be how the equity market responds to its short-term overbought condition. Also, Emerging and Frontier market proxies have formed a short-term pattern of “higher troughs and higher peaks.”
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The global equity allocation for the strategy is mildly bearish, with the worst December returns since 1931 causing the model to become more defensive. The model remains somewhat cautious toward international equity markets, preferring the U.S. over other global regions.
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The odds favor that downside momentum has been broken and a necessary bottoming sequence has started.
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Greetings and best wishes for a happy, healthy and lucrative new year. In what is no surprise to anyone reading this letter, it was a difficult month for the markets, with the S&P 500 and Dow recording their worst December since the Great Depression.
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Video replay of the January 2, 2019 Day Hagan Logix Tactical Dividend Strategy Webinar from January 2, 2019.
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What are you thinking?
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Before declaring that the latest “seasonal funk” downtrend is reversing, we need to see strong and broad buying interest in the domestic equity markets. We’re watching AAPL as a potential leading indicator.
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The global equity allocation for the DHTA strategy is now mildly bullish. However, the models remain somewhat cautious toward international equity markets, currently preferring the U.S. over other global regions.
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The Day Hagan Logix Tactical Dividend strategy moved further into positive performance territory during the month of November,
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With both resistance currently just overhead and a short-term overbought condition, the possibility for volatility in both directions still exists. However, an “on-again-off-again” rally into year-end would be my “odds-on favorite.”
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How the Homebuilders, Automobile and Semiconductor groups act going forward may be a reflection of a less aggressive Fed in 2019 and a reduction in trade tension between the U.S. and China.
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Yes, many indicators are oversold. How oversold are they? In this Research Update, we look at several indicators’ current levels vs. levels seen during past declines.
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