October: A “scary” month, but one also filled with potential opportunity.
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Primary or secondary oversold levels are being recorded. This implies an approaching rally try. However, the quality of the next rally attempt, in terms of breadth and strength, will be an important near-term guidepost.
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The equity allocation for the DHTA strategy remains mildly bullish. With regard to our fixed income holdings, the overall allocation remains well below our fixed income benchmark.
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With the end of 2018 now in sight, the Day Hagan Logix Tactical Dividend Strategy (DHLTD) continues to show attractive absolute and relative (to its benchmark Russell 1000 Value) performance.
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I believe that the secular bond bull market has ended. In mid-2017, that opinion looked foolish, but not so much now. When it comes to positioning your fixed income holdings, please prepare for higher domestic and global yields.
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Here are a few observations. The tape action relative to the Small Cap universe is worth emphasizing, and is especially concerning!
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Above is the replay of the September 18, 2018 Day Hagan Technical Tuesday Webinar, with Art Huprich, CMT.
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Please join Donald Hagan, CFA, on Wednesday, October 17, 2018, at 4:15 PM EST, for the monthly Day Hagan Market Update Webinar. Don will be discussing his outlook for the global financial markets and the driving forces behind the U.S. economy.
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Please Art Huprich, CMT, on Tuesday, October 23, 2018, at 4:15 PM EST, for the monthly Day Hagan Technical Analysis Tuesday webinar. Art will be discussing the current technical condition of the equity markets (domestic, international and emerging) based on supply (selling pressure) and demand (buying interest) analysis.
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Above is the replay of the September 12, 2018 Day Hagan Global Macroeconomic Webinar, with Donald Hagan, CFA.
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The equity allocation for the DHTA strategy remains mildly bullish. With regard to our fixed income holdings, the overall allocation remains well below our fixed income benchmark.
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The Day Hagan Logix Tactical Dividend Strategy had another strong month in August, extending its year-to-date and one-year outperformance versus its benchmark Russell 1000 Value.
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Since this is the last Tech Talk report until my Technical Webinar on 9/18/18 (at 4:15 PM EST), here are some thoughts:
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Despite headline news, inflation concerns, currency market volatility, etc., the earnings trend of the SPX continues to move higher, implying…
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While short-term roadblocks can be quickly resolved, especially within the context of a primary uptrend, the Small Cap Advance – Decline Line is out of sync, on a short-term basis. Let’s see how this gets resolved! In the meantime…
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The equity allocation for the DHTA strategy has returned to a mildly bullish level. With regard to our fixed income holdings, the allocation was reduced and the overall allocation remains well below our fixed income benchmark.
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s we hit the dog days of August, the Day Hagan Logix Tactical Dividend strategy continues to outperform its Russell 1000 Value benchmark.
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While the longer-term technical underpinnings I follow support an ongoing secular Bull market, and despite the Large Cap S&P 500 still being range-bound, the odds favor a short-term consolidation/further downside probing.
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Following seasonal periods of strength, similar to November 2016 to January 2018, consolidation periods are not unusual.
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Given how stocks traded in the first week of July and the start of the second half of 2018, it looks like the bulls were not just running in Pamplona, Spain.
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