The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 72.9% from 67.9% last week due to the sentiment composite shifting from bearish to neutral. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model improved to 67.9% from 60.7% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model is unchanged from last week’s level of 60.7%. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 60.7% from 55.7% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 55.7% from 67.9% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is low-neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 67.9% from 60.7% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral. The model continues to recommend a fully invested position.

The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 60.7% from 67.9% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral. The Catastrophic Stop model has moved closer to neutral, setting it up to generate a sell signal more quickly if conditions warrant.

The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 67.9% from 62.9% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 62.9% from 72.9% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 72.9% from 82.9% last week. The Internal and External Composites are bullish.

The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 82.9% from 65.7% last week. The Internal and External Composites are bullish.

The Catastrophic Stop model is unchanged this week at 65.7%. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral. The model continues to support a fully invested position. With the S&P 500 near all-time highs, the model has correctly maintained a risk-on stance YTD.

The Catastrophic Stop model is unchanged this week at 65.7%. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 65.7% from 55.7% last week. The Internal Composite (price-related indicators) is positive, and the External Composite remains neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model currently sits at 55.7%. The Internal and External composites are neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model held steady at 48.6%. The Internal and External composites are neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model held steady at 48.6%.  The Internal and External Composites are neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 48.6% from 53.6% last week. The Internal and External composites are neutral.

The Catastrophic Stop model declined slightly to 53.6% from 60.7% last week. The Internal and External composites are neutral.

We are monitoring economic growth closely, as that is the driving force behind the recent decline (among myriad other factors). The quantitative, unemotional outlook confirms that economic growth is decelerating but still positive overall. Inflation pressures continue to diminish. The model is positive, and we are aligned with the message. If our models shift to bearish levels, we will raise cash.