Day Hagan Research
Day Hagan’s Research is a resource for U.S. and global financial market research and portfolio insights to help fuel client relationships and grow your practice. Read market commentary and research to help you deliver on your clients’ financial goals.
Day Hagan Smart Value Strategy Update December 2023
The DH Smart Value Portfolio continues to invest in companies producing excess returns through positive economic profitability, supported by solid balance sheets (quality), significant cash generation (profitability), and trading with considerable margins of safety (valuation). Using our consistent and differentiated investment approach, the DH Smart Value Portfolio is focused on outperformance, seeking higher total returns with lower volatility.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® International Strategy Update November 2023
The Catastrophic Stop model declined from last month and it now recommends raising cash. Entering November, the non-U.S. equity Core model overweighted Australia, Japan, and France, while underweighting the U.K., China, and Canada. The Explore model favored Brazil, India, Israel, Turkey, and Taiwan.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® Fixed Income Strategy Update November 2023
Entering November, the fixed income allocation strategy continued to favor mixed leadership. The model is overweight U.S. Long-Term Treasurys, International Investment Grade, and U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. The model is underweight U.S. Floating Rate Notes, U.S. Investment Grade Corporate, and U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy Update November 2023
Entering November, the sector model remained with a mix of cyclical and defensive leadership. The sector model is overweight Communication Services, Utilities, Materials, and Industrials. Information Technology dropped to market weight, while Energy and Real Estate improved to market weight. Health Care and Financials joined Consumer Discretionary and Consumer Staples at underweight.
Day Hagan Smart Value Strategy Update November 2023
The DH Smart Value Portfolio continues to invest in companies producing excess returns through positive economic profitability, supported by solid balance sheets (quality), significant cash generation (profitability), and trading with considerable margins of safety (valuation). We believe these factors will continue to provide rational opportunities for the foreseeable future.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® International Strategy Update October 2023
The NDR Catastrophic Stop Sell model combines time-tested, objective indicators designed to identify high risk periods for the equity market. The model deteriorated from last month but entered October with a fully invested equity allocation recommendation.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® Fixed Income Strategy Update October 2023
The risk management model seeks to reduce exposure to fixed income sectors most sensitive to equity drawdowns. The risk management model deteriorated from last month but entered October recommending full model exposure to areas most sensitive to equity markets: U.S. High Yield, Emerging Markets, U.S. Investment Grade, and Floating Rate Notes.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy Update October 2023
The NDR Catastrophic Stop Sell model combines time-tested, objective indicators designed to identify high-risk periods for the equity market. The model deteriorated from last month but entered October with a fully invested equity allocation recommendation.
Day Hagan Smart Value Strategy Update October 2023
The DH Smart Value Portfolio continues to invest in companies producing excess returns through positive economic profitability, supported by solid balance sheets (quality), significant cash generation (profitability), and trading with considerable margins of safety (valuation). We believe these factors will continue to provide rational opportunities for the foreseeable future.
Day Hagan Smart Value Strategy Update September 2023
Year-to-date, through the end of August, the portfolio was up +6.88%* net of fees vs. the benchmark Russell 1000 Value Index Total Return, +5.79%. For the three-year period from 8-31-2020 through 8-31-2023, the portfolio gained at a +13.38%* annualized rate (net of fees) vs. +11.39% for our benchmark.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® Fixed Income Strategy Update September 2023
Entering September, the fixed income allocation strategy remains with a risk-on message and suggests no rebalancing from the month prior. The model remains overweight U.S. Treasurys, U.S. High-Yield Bonds, U.S. Investment Grade Corporate, U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities, Emerging Market Bonds, and underweight U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, and Floating Rate Notes.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® International Strategy Update September 2023
The Catastrophic Stop model declined from last month, but it continues to recommend a fully invested allocation. Entering September, the non-U.S. equity Core model overweighted Australia, Germany, Japan, and China while underweighting the U.K., Canada, France, and Switzerland. The Explore model favored Poland, Mexico, Peru, Spain, and India.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy Update September 2023
Sector leadership remained mixed during the month. Entering September, the sector model is overweight Information Technology, Communication Services, & Utilities. Health Care, Industrials, & Financials moved to market weight, while Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Materials, & Real Estate are underweight.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® International Strategy Update August 2023
Global markets gained with emerging markets performing well. Global PMI slowed but remains in expansion. Non-U.S. equity Core model overweight on China, Australia, Germany, Canada; Explore model favors Chile, India, South Korea, Sweden, Taiwan.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® Fixed Income Strategy Update August 2023
Risk management model remains unchanged, advising full exposure to U.S. High Yield, Emerging Markets, U.S. Investment Grade, and Floating Rate Notes. Steady indicators support this allocation.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® Strategy Update August 2023
The NDR Catastrophic Stop Update: NDR's model recommends fully invested equity allocation in August. Market gains continue, led by cyclical value sectors. The model remains a mix of cyclical and defensive sectors.
Day Hagan Smart Value Strategy Update August 2023
The DH Smart Value Portfolio continues to invest in companies producing excess returns through positive economic profitability, supported by solid balance sheets (quality), significant cash generation (profitability), and trading with considerable margins of safety (valuation).
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® Fixed Income Strategy Update July 2023
Risk management model recommends full exposure to equity-sensitive fixed-income sectors: U.S. High Yield, Emerging Markets, U.S. Investment Grade, and Floating Rate Notes. Fixed income markets show mixed performance, with short-term yields rising and long-term yields cooling. Sector allocations remain stable, with slight changes in weights.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® International Strategy Update July 2023
Improved Catastrophic Stop model recommends fully invested allocation. Global markets show positive growth, with Japan and Australia overweighted. Germany and the UK underweighted. Explore opportunities in Mexico, South Korea, Poland, Taiwan, and India. Models use various indicators for objective analysis.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® Strategy Update July 2023
Improved NDR Catastrophic Stop model enters July fully invested. S&P 500 gains, led by cyclical sectors. Technology remains largest position, while Industrials and Consumer Staples change. Sector model indicates mixed leadership, overweighting IT, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Health Care, Utilities.