Day Hagan Research
Day Hagan’s Research is a resource for U.S. and global financial market research and portfolio insights to help fuel client relationships and grow your practice. Read market commentary and research to help you deliver on your clients’ financial goals.
Day Hagan Smart Value Strategy Update June 2024
The Portfolio continues to invest in companies producing excess returns through positive economic profitability, supported by solid balance sheets, significant cash generation, & trading w/ considerable margins of safety (valuation). Using our consistent & differentiated investment approach, the Portfolio is focused on outperformance, seeking higher total returns w/ lower volatility.
Day Hagan Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy Update June 2024
The Catastrophic Stop model combines time-tested, objective indicators designed to identify high-risk periods for the equity market. The model increased during May and entered June with a fully invested equity allocation recommendation.
Day Hagan Smart Sector® International Strategy Update June 2024
The Catastrophic Stop model combines time-tested, objective indicators designed to identify high-risk periods for the equity market. The model improved during the month and entered June with a fully invested equity allocation recommendation.
Day Hagan Smart Sector® Fixed Income Strategy Update June 2024
The risk management model seeks to reduce exposure to fixed-income sectors most sensitive to equity drawdowns. The model improved during the month and entered June, recommending full exposure.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® International Strategy Update May 2024
Entering May, the non-U.S. equity Core model overweighted China, France, and Germany. Japan, the U.K., Canada, Switzerland, and Australia were below benchmark weighting. The Explore model favored Israel, Mexico, Malaysia, Netherlands, and Sweden.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® Fixed Income Strategy Update May 2024
Entering May, the fixed income allocation strategy’s positioning is overweight Long-term Treasurys, U.S. High Yield, and International Investment Grade. U.S. Investment Grade Corporates are neutral. Floating Rate Notes, Emerging Market Bond, TIPS, and Mortgage-Backed Securities are underweighted relative to the benchmark.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy Update May 2024
The sector model maintained mixed leadership this month. Entering May, Financials, Industrials, Consumer Staples, and Utilities are above benchmark weight. Energy, Real Estate, and Information Technology are neutral. Materials, Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Communication Services are below benchmark weight.
Day Hagan Smart Value Strategy Update May 2024
The DH Smart Value Portfolio continues to invest in companies producing excess returns through positive economic profitability, supported by solid balance sheets (quality), significant cash generation (profitability), and trading with considerable margins of safety (valuation). We believe these factors will continue to provide rational opportunities for the foreseeable future
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® Fixed Income Strategy Update April 2024
Entering April, the strategy continued to favor risk-on leadership but did not rebalance. The model remains overweight, U.S. Treasuries (allocated across short-, intermediate-, and long-duration), High Yield, & Emerging Market Bonds. The portfolio is market weight TIPS & Mortgage-Backed Securities & underweight U.S. Floating Rate Notes, U.S. Investment Grade, and International Investment Grade.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® International Strategy Update April 2024
Entering April, the non-U.S. equity Core model overweighted China and Germany. Japan and Canada are neutral. The U.K., France, Switzerland, and Australia are underweight. The Explore model favored Malaysia, the Philippines, Poland, Sweden, and Taiwan.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy Update April 2024
The sector model recommended mixed leadership this month. Entering April, Financials and Utilities are overweight. Communication Services and Real Estate are underweight. Materials, Energy, Industrials, Information Technology, Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Consumer Discretionary are all market-weight.
Day Hagan Smart Value Strategy Update April 2024
The Portfolio continues to invest in companies producing excess returns through positive economic profitability, supported by solid balance sheets (quality), significant cash generation (profitability), & trading with considerable margins of safety (valuation). We believe these factors will continue to provide rational opportunities for the foreseeable future.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® International Strategy Update March 2024
Entering March, the non-U.S. equity Core model overweighted Japan and Germany. China and Canada are neutral, and the U.K., France, Switzerland, and Australia are underweight. The Explore model favored Mexico, Turkey, Brazil, Spain, and the Philippines.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® Fixed Income Strategy Update March 2024
The allocation of International Investment-Grade bonds remained underweight. Rising inflation expectations are bearish for the sector but offset by rising stock market volatility. Price-based measures—rising relative strength and short-term trend—improved during the month to bullish levels.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy Update March 2024
The sector model remained with a cyclical bias during the month. Entering March, Information Technology and Financials are overweight. Industrials, Health Care, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Energy, and Real Estate are neutral. Materials, Communication Services, and Utilities are underweight.
Day Hagan Smart Value Strategy Update March 2024
From seasonal and cycle perspectives, February is often one of the weakest months of the year for equity performance. However, that wasn’t the case this time around, with equity markets around the globe continuing higher as investors focused on better-than-expected global economic activity and hopes for easier central bank policies.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® International Strategy Update February 2024
Entering February, the non-U.S. equity Core model overweighted Canada and Germany. Japan was neutral, while the U.K., China, France, Australia, and Switzerland were underweight. The Explore model favored Brazil, Peru, Spain, Poland, and the Philippines.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® Fixed Income Strategy Update February 2024
Entering February, the strategy continued to favor risk-on leadership but did rebalance. The model remained overweight (versus the AGG benchmark), U.S. Treasuries, High Yield, & Emerging Market Bonds. The portfolio is market weight TIPS & Mortgage-Backed Securities & underweight U.S. Floating Rate Notes, U.S. Investment Grade, International Investment Grade, & International Bonds.
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy Update February 2024
The sector model remained with a cyclical bias during the month, but there were some changes. Entering February, Financials and Communication Services improved and joined Information Technology and Health Care at overweight. Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Energy, and Real Estate are Neutral. Materials, Industrials, and Utilities are underweight.
Day Hagan Smart Value Strategy Update February 2024
The DH Smart Value Portfolio continues to invest in companies producing excess returns through positive economic profitability, supported by solid balance sheets (quality), significant cash generation (profitability), and trading with considerable margins of safety (valuation). We believe these factors will continue to provide rational opportunities for the foreseeable future.