
Day Hagan Research
Day Hagan’s Research is a resource for U.S. and global financial market research and portfolio insights to help fuel client relationships and grow your practice. Read market commentary and research to help you deliver on your clients’ financial goals.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update March 11, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 63.57% from 70.71% last week. The model’s technical indicators are now neutral on balance due to the short-term trend factor turning negative, joining the stock/bond relative strength factor. Neutral readings are in place for our breadth thrust and oversold mean reversion factors.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update March 4, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 70.7% from 72.9% last week due to a relative strength measure calling stocks versus bonds turning negative. The model’s internal indicators remain bullish, though less so with this week’s update, and the external indicators are neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update February 25, 2025
The Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop model level is 72.9%, the same level as last week. The model’s internal indicators remain bullish, and the external indicators are neutral. We note that measures calling U.S. Stock/Bond relative strength and Short-term Trend are approaching potential sell signals, while MSCI Equity Market breadth and Emerging Market/High-Yield bond breadth remain positive.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update February 18, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model held steady at 72.9%, the same level as last week. The model’s technical indicators are bullish, and the external indicators are neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update February 11, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model held steady at 72.9%, the same level as last week. On average, the model’s technical indicators remain bullish, and the external indicators are neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update February 4, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model held steady at 72.9%, the same level as last week. On average, the model’s technical indicators remain bullish, and the external indicators are neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update January 28, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 72.9% from 65.9% last week. Internal measures (price-related indicators) are bullish, and External measures (indicators calling the operating environment) are neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update January 21, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model increased slightly to 65.7% from 60.7% last week. Internal measures (price-related indicators) are bullish, and External measures (indicators calling the operating environment) are neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update January 14, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 60.7% from 67.9% last week as the MSCI ACWI Breadth Factor reverted to a sell signal. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update January 7, 2025
The Catastrophic Stop model improved to 67.9% from 60.7% last week due to the MSCI ACWI Breadth Factor shifting to positive. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update December 31, 2024
The Catastrophic Stop model held steady at 60.7%, the same reading as last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update December 23, 2024
The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 60.7% from 72.9% last week due to High-Yield and Emerging Market bond breadth shifting from bullish to neutral on 12-18-2024. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update December 17, 2024
The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 72.9% from 67.9% last week due to the sentiment composite shifting from bearish to neutral. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update December 11, 2024
The Catastrophic Stop model improved to 67.9% from 60.7% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update December 3, 2024
The Catastrophic Stop model is unchanged from last week’s level of 60.7%. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update November 26, 2024
The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 60.7% from 55.7% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update November 19, 2024
The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 55.7% from 67.9% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is low-neutral.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update November 11, 2024
The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 67.9% from 60.7% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral. The model continues to recommend a fully invested position.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update November 5, 2024
The Catastrophic Stop model declined to 60.7% from 67.9% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral. The Catastrophic Stop model has moved closer to neutral, setting it up to generate a sell signal more quickly if conditions warrant.
Day Hagan Catastrophic Stop Update October 29, 2024
The Catastrophic Stop model increased to 67.9% from 62.9% last week. The Internal Composite is bullish, and the External Composite is neutral.